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Siemens IV vs HV: Are Its Options Cheap or Expensive?

13 Nov close

Implied volatility of Siemens's at-the-money options (the move they price in) against the move the share actually made, with the IV percentile and IV rank.

NIFTYBANKNIFTYFINNIFTYMIDCPNIFTYSENSEXF&O stocks ↓
36.8 vs 38.6IV is 1.9 points below HV · IV percentile 8713 Nov close

In plain words: options are priced about in line with how much Siemens has really been moving (ATM IV 36.8% against 38.6% over the last 20 days, 0.95×). IV is higher than on 87% of the last year's days, in the upper half of that range (IV rank 57), so options are expensive by this year's standard.

ATM IV
36.77
at-the-money options, current month
ATM IV, 23 Nov expiry
36.8%
10 days left
HV 20 days
38.6%
the actual move, a month
HV 60 days
33.7%
the actual move, 3 months
IV percentile (1 year)
87
higher than 87% of days
IV rank (1 year)
57
21.5 low · 48.3 high

IV vs HV

each day we have recorded
IV (ATM IV)HV, last 20 daysIV above HVIV below HV

IV percentile

today against the days we have
Today 36.8
1-year low 21.5high 48.3
IV percentile: days with lower IV
87%
IV rank: where today sits low to high
57

Information only, not investment advice.

What is the difference between IV and HV?

Historical volatility (HV) is how much the price actually moved, worked out from its daily closes and written as a yearly percentage. Implied volatility (IV) is the move that option prices assume from now to expiry. HV looks back; IV looks ahead.

What is IV percentile and how is it different from IV rank?

IV percentile is the share of past days (here, up to a year) when IV was lower than today. IV rank is where today's IV sits between the period's lowest and highest: 0 at the low, 100 at the high. One spike can keep IV rank low for months, so the percentile is usually the steadier reading.

Is Siemens IV high today?

The top of this page compares Siemens's IV (at-the-money IV) with its last 20 days' actual move and with its own past. IV well above HV, or an IV percentile above 80, means options are expensive; IV below HV or a percentile under 20 means they are cheap.

Why is IV usually above HV?

Option sellers take on the risk of a sudden big move, so they ask for a little more than the movement they expect. That extra is why IV has been above the move that followed on most days, and why selling options pays on average but loses heavily when a big move comes.

How often is this updated?

IV updates through the trading day; HV uses daily closes and changes once a day. The F&O stock table uses each stock's at-the-money options for the current month.

New to this? Read the guideIV rank and IV percentile7 min read

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